Environment

Top Violent Conflicts to Monitor in 2018

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Top Violent Conflicts to Monitor in 2018 released in Dubai, United Arab Emirates.
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  Top Violent Conflicts to Monitor in 2018 For Public Release   2018 January 4    For Release: 2018 January 4   | COPYRIGHT NOTICE  Copyright © Global Risk Intelligence. All Rights Reserved. No part of this document can be reproduced without the express written permission of Global Risk Intelligence. Any reproduction without authorization shall be considered an infringement of Global Risk Intelligence’s copyright.     For Release: 2018 January 4   | Contents Note from the President & CEO  ................................................................................ 3   Global  ......................................................................................................................................... 4   Regionscope™  ......................................................................................................................... 5   Country ...................................................................................................................................... 6   Contact  ...................................................................................................................................... 7     For Release: 2018 January 4   | 3   Note from the President & CEO  2018 is a year of trepidation for the international system. There are incredible levels of insecurity and moreover factors of uncertainty present that contribute to the degree of unpredictability for global stability. As forecasted in earlier presentations and conferences at Global Risk Intelligence, the Syrian government has emerged victorious in its civil war. Albeit, victory was achieved at an extremely high cost, with the country suffering enormous damage including the widespread destruction of critical historical sites such as the ancient city of Palmyra. Nonetheless, intense conflict has been alleviated for the time being with projections of reconstruction to now occur. In this vein, there are other conflicts around the world that will intensify with many indicators for forthcoming clashes to emerge as well. Given that “ conflict ”  can be understood in different manners, this set of publicly released rankings will be presented from the viewpoint of conflict as violence and the exercising of hard power. Categorizations have been provided through a global lens as well as by Regionscop e™  and country. Dr. Nadir Gohari President & CEO   For Release: 2018 January 4   | 4   Global ISIL Exodus   Following the collapse of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and the destruction of its powerbases in Iraq and Syria, there is at present a mass exodus of fighters with combat and asymmetric experience that are returning to their lands of srcin. Europe, Asia, Africa, and North America are particularly susceptible to the future shocks and consequential tremors of repatriation. Returning home with a drive that has not been dampened with the dismantling of the group ’s zenith in the Middle East amidst the chaos of instabilities in Iraq and Syria , future security issues will undoubtedly emerge. While recruiting others will not ever be able to reach the same scale of fighters as was seen in the Middle East, factors inclusive of damage capabilities and terrorism via asymmetric means are weights that favor the groups’ remnants. Indeed, the ISIL Exodus is a global threat that requires vigilant monitoring.  
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