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  ABSTRAK  Perencanaan bandar udara bukan sekedar masalah teknik perancangan danisu desain bandara tersebut. Namun sedemikian kompleks karena secara politik menyangkut proses publik. Dalam hal ini, perencana Bandara Wolter Monginsidimenjadi bandar udara internasional disamping perlu melakukan peramalan pertumbuhan arus lalu lintas, perluasan fasilitas dan estimasi rute penerbangan berdasarkan data statistik dan hitungan matematik perlu pula mempertimbangkankondisi eksisting dan potensi daerah.Pada studi ini peramalan arus lalu lintas menggunakan metode konstan danmetode time series  yang mengekstrapolasi data 1 tahun terakhir ke depan hinggatahun !"!, serta penelitian lapangan menggunakan kuisioner dan interview  untuk mendapat potensi permintaan dan gambaran umum mengenai prospek bandarainternasional khususnya terhadap sektor ekonomi #usaha$ maupun pari%isata.&asil analisis dapat disimpulkan bah%a bandar udara eksisting perlu peningkatan dan perluasan bertahap fasilitas untuk mengakomodasi peningkatanarus lalu lintas penumpang dan kargo di tahun'tahun mendatang. Namun untuk rute internasional dari segi bisnis sendiri, selama tren angkutan laut masih utama,sangat sulit bagi (endari dipertimbangkan untuk dijadikan rute internasional.(ata kunci ) *stimasi, Bandar +dara, alulintas +dara-ii  ABSTRACT irport planning transcends technical engineering and design issue. /t is acomple0 and politically sensiti-e public process. /n this case, Wolter Monginsidi/nternational irport Planner beside calculate the forecasting of airtraffic gro%th,e0panding facilities and estimate the airlines route base on statistic data, it must beconsidering the condition e0isting and regency potential too./n this study, airtraffic forecasting using constant method and time seriesmethod %hich e0trapolate data of last 1 years in front until year of !"!, also theresearch using respondent sur-ey and inter-ie% %hich mean to get demand potential ang general description of international airport prospec e0peciallyto%ard economic sector and tourism.nalysis result summaried that e0isting airport needs e0pansion andupgrading in phases to acomodate e0panding of airlines traffic of passangers andcargo in the follo%ing years. &o%e-er, for international line by the business side itself, as long as sea transportation trend still priority,it still create difficultcondition for (endary 2ity in consideration for being international route.(ey%ords ) *stimate, airport, air traffic-iii
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